Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.461526 0.524738 0.592128 0.669174 0.754670 0.846480 0.952376
2025-11-09 0.360192 0.446957 0.546327 0.667934 0.812076 0.976786 1.178507
2025-11-16 0.287958 0.388046 0.510583 0.670133 0.870706 1.112693 1.424715
2025-11-23 0.230032 0.335579 0.473253 0.663164 0.915081 1.234186 1.664783
2025-11-30 0.192742 0.302721 0.454781 0.675758 0.983185 1.389523 1.959708
2025-12-07 0.157841 0.266586 0.425706 0.668755 1.022389 1.508600 2.215752
2025-12-14 0.133524 0.241448 0.407901 0.673996 1.077109 1.651114 2.512655
2025-12-21 0.110658 0.214240 0.382536 0.663781 1.106686 1.758676 2.766637
2025-12-28 0.098732 0.202991 0.380240 0.687948 1.188715 1.946724 3.147736
2026-01-04 0.088364 0.192520 0.377437 0.710199 1.268599 2.135903 3.541380
2026-01-11 0.076874 0.177793 0.365049 0.714434 1.318901 2.281922 3.877299
2026-01-18 0.066949 0.164218 0.352648 0.716691 1.365110 2.423257 4.212849
2026-01-25 0.058001 0.151133 0.339622 0.716754 1.408200 2.563573 4.557548
2026-02-01 0.050315 0.139256 0.327219 0.716366 1.450049 2.704097 4.910434
2026-02-08 0.044049 0.129327 0.317260 0.719282 1.497579 2.856540 5.290862
2026-02-15 0.037854 0.118215 0.303157 0.712237 1.525724 2.976875 5.623465
2026-02-22 0.034066 0.112372 0.299574 0.725854 1.593334 3.169371 6.087927
2026-03-01 0.029375 0.103035 0.286721 0.718549 1.619666 3.289503 6.432901
2026-03-08 0.026099 0.096881 0.280332 0.724213 1.671557 3.458208 6.870682
2026-03-15 0.022381 0.088478 0.267201 0.713402 1.689067 3.564106 7.201196
2026-03-22 0.020881 0.086611 0.270122 0.739143 1.783338 3.818164 7.810286
2026-03-29 0.019413 0.084503 0.272111 0.762828 1.874784 4.071246 8.428317
2026-04-05 0.017322 0.079732 0.266311 0.767346 1.925540 4.248447 8.913599